The Bondi Parlay (Feb 13)

• 01
  Price move

  Down 1pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 13, 2026: - Epstein Data Set 13 not released - Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). 2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000. If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.