The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Probability
30¢
1h
-14.0pp
24h
-20.5pp
24h Vol
$4.3K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 211.5h
- 04:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 211h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).