Reasonable-Pad
0xe8005ce45a222de67df1bf8515050b96649550de
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$5.94
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$3.37
$-1.63
- YES
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
9997 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
9421 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
2039 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-61.99
- YES
Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
1846 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
1698 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
991 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
926 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTobey Maguire as Spider-Man?$5.19Apr 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office$41.92Apr 30, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$162.91Feb 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "un x100to" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.38Feb 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$40.00Feb 8, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$300.00Feb 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Feb 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Feb 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$348.96Feb 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 8, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "No Me Conoce - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$4.00Feb 8, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 8, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Efecto" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$5.00Feb 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$5.00Feb 8, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $101.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.