Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?
Probability
71¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+20.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 98.7h
- 10:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 99h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 70¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 70¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 70¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 70¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 70¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 70¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 70¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 70¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 70¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 76¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
1Market Description
As of market creation, Tradeweb Markets is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tradeweb Markets’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.07 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tradeweb Markets reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.07 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Tradeweb Markets releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://seekingalpha.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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