SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 6, 2026
Creator

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-22.4pp

24h Vol

$20.3K

Liquidity

$50.3K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active · uma=proposed

Derived status (Orrery)

UMA PENDING

Reason

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-51.4pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 23:00May 6, 2026, 22:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T22-55Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 22pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Resolve

    Expiry passed 4h ago; awaiting UMA confirmation

    HIGH

Price movement

-22.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -29.4pp at 22:55 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 49 hourly moves
  • 22:55 · -29.4pp → 0¢
  • 21:00 · -24.5pp → 10¢
  • 20:00 · +17.5pp → 54¢
  • 4d ago · -14.5pp → 36¢
  • 4d ago · -14.5pp → 36¢
  • 4d ago · -15.0pp → 36¢
  • 4d ago · -15.5pp → 36¢
  • 4d ago · -16.0pp → 36¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Paris Saint-Germain FC, scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC match originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Why this category?

confidence: medium

Category

Sports

Source

Gamma category hint

Matched term

Sports

Reason

No rule fired; using Polymarket's own category hint "Sports".

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Exact Score: Any Other Score?"?

As of Wed, 06 May 2026 22:55:24 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -22.4pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and -51.4pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 6, 2026 (2026-05-06T19:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from UMA optimistic oracle (proposed).

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from UMA optimistic oracle (proposed). Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$20.3K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $20.6K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $50.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket