Worse-Scenario
0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f
Quality score
94/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$297.8K
Total PnL
$25.0K
Realised
$-4.6K
Win rate
47%
153 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
29360 shares @ 80.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$26.3K
$2.7K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
21644 shares @ 71.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.2K
$5.8K
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
17652 shares @ 73.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.6K
$4.7K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17329 shares @ 49.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.3K
$4.8K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13589 shares @ 72.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.2K
$2.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
32140 shares @ 45.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.4K
$-3.2K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
11579 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.7K
$619.48
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
16415 shares @ 15.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.3K
$6.8K
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
11925 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.8K
$-659.62
- NO
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
8740 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$7.9K
$43.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$94.408m ago
- MERGEWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$6.0010m ago
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$17.0010m ago
- MERGEWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$9.0010m ago
- MERGEWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$37.0010m ago
- MERGEWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$114.0010m ago
- MERGEWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$5.0010m ago
- MERGEWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.4910m ago
- MERGERussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$13.0010m ago
- TRADEBUYWill A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?$24.6011m ago
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$15.3012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$6.8215m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$7.6015m ago
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$25.2320m ago
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$7.0420m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$4.8024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.7526m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$88.9231m ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$2.2033m ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)$39.2236m ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.