UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?

Probability

9¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$605.91

Probability (last 7 days)

-38.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 116.9h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.

Biggest hourly move: -40.5pp at 2d ago (to 10¢).

Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -39.5pp → 9¢
  • 19:00 · -39.5pp → 9¢
  • 17:00 · -39.5pp → 9¢
  • 09:00 · -39.5pp → 10¢
  • 08:00 · -39.5pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -40.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -40.5pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -40.0pp → 10¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC - Exact Score
Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC match originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket