Will Quillan Salkilld win by KO or TKO?
Probability
55¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$89.49
Probability (last 7 days)
+7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 80.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 181.2h
- 14:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Quillan Salkilld defeats Beneil Dariush at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (80.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.