Dishonest-Schedule
0x5e2d30e5fa35e50c79381cfe2d1aa5439294a9b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-516.21
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2736 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-187.54
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1050 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-64.25
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
368 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
300 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
137 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-71.11
- MARCO TULIO
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
121 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.23
- VINCE MORALES
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
117 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-21.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$0.25Jun 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$0.19Jun 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$0.70Jun 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$2.29Jun 16, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$0.00Jun 15, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$2.50Jun 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$7.52Jun 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$7.49Jun 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.17Jun 15, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$6.00Jun 15, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$7.80Jun 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$4.83Jun 15, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.25Jun 15, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$14.98Jun 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$3.55Jun 14, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.54Jun 14, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.60Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$3.62Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$9.81Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$8.29Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.