Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$55.25
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 179h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 92.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 179.3h
- 16:43SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 179h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-1.5pp
O/U 3.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $477.87
- 51¢-0.5pp
O/U 4.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢+0.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢-5.5pp
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢+0.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-1.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+39.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 69¢+2.0pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.9M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Della Maddalena defeats Carlos Prates at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (92.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.