O/U 2.5 Rounds
Probability
61¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$169.10
Liquidity
$13.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 61¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 50h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $13.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 50 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 49.6h
- 02:24SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 50h.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.
Biggest hourly move: +15.0pp at 2d ago (to 65¢).
Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +15.0pp → 65¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
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