0x45b4f43f0ed28ee599b796297a4be68ce9c2e428
0x45b4f43f0ed28ee599b796297a4be68ce9c2e428
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$93.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1651 shares @ 27.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.91
$-199.49
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
319 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$196.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3701 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.62
$-1.85
- GRANT DAWSON
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
187 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$186.64
$72.79
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
526 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.82
$23.67
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
925 shares @ 15.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.28
$-60.27
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
521 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$23.46
$-33.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
229 shares @ 31.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.03
$-59.24
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
42800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.80
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
2538 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-183.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$53.30Jun 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$74.26Jun 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$66.42Jun 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$198.00Jun 12, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$148.50Jun 11, 15:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$357.40Jun 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$34.65Jun 1, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $107.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.