Loading shell…
SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$9.6K

Liquidity

$241.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $9.6k traded against $241.6k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 15h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 14.8h

    HIGH
  • 13:13Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:13Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Joselyne Edwards" if Joselyne Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Norma Dumont at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).