UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$9.6K
Liquidity
$241.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $9.6k traded against $241.6k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 14.8h
- 13:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:13PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Joselyne Edwards" if Joselyne Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Norma Dumont at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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