0xd282e90750f88922cf28fa889486b51bd2e3a206
0xd282e90750f88922cf28fa889486b51bd2e3a206
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
193
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
378 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$173.74
$-3.78
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 67.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.00
$33.00
- NO
Will MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?
103 shares @ 45.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$103.04
$56.34
- YES
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$51.00
- NO
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
81 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$80.79
$10.81
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?
79 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.42
$12.71
- YES
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?
75 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$75.05
$11.13
- YES
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?
113 shares @ 56.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$72.38
$9.05
- NO
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
66 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$65.69
$9.92
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 48.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.95
$9.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.60Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.40Apr 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrancaccio vs. Marcinko: Match O/U 21.5$0.24Apr 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRinderknech vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5$0.24Apr 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$5.59Apr 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$17.92Apr 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.59Apr 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Buse vs Moutet$0.24Apr 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$15.30Apr 13, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $24.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.