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SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Joselyne Edwards win by KO or TKO?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-18.5pp

24h Vol

$4.58

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-39.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 19pp over 24h

    Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 13.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 15.6h

    HIGH
  • 12:25Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joselyne Edwards defeats Norma Dumont at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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