Colorless-Top
0xf84d34bbc82bffe0104cea614310706d0f330957
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-37.46
Realised
$-12.15
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
121 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$121.21
$20.61
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
132 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.17
$13.94
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
111 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.78
$9.23
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
130 shares @ 66.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.36
$22.71
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
115 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.02
$2.87
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
79 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.77
$3.37
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
78 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.35
$2.31
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.68
$5.41
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
69 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.83
$4.49
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
75 shares @ 51.2¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.90
$17.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)$5.01May 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$5.05May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$5.12May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$50.28May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1.19May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$3.36May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.53May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$5.61May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?$5.69May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5.86May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$7.51May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$8.11May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$8.67May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$8.86May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$8.98May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$15.13May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?$17.53May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$29.40May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$41.82May 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$67.30May 10, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.