Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
75¢
1h
+23.5pp
24h
+17.5pp
24h Vol
$2.2K
Liquidity
$28.39
Probability (last 7 days)
+35.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 18pp over 24h
Now 75¢; +23.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 49.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:56SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.0pp
to 100¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 50¢
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 60¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 59¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 60¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 60¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 52¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 79¢+1.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-38.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.9K
- 65¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $484.6K
- 0¢-1.8pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $471.8K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $471.0K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If FK Karpaty Lviv wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsupl.ua
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (49.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.