Formal-Want
0x77801afd885c01bb46213385295fb057ab62763e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$35.26
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$2.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
12727 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.09
$-125.87
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5969 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$14.92
$-126.06
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.25
$-8.75
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
593500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-648.70
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
273633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-714.18
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
5500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.99
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?
4539 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?
3380 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 3, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$5.20Jun 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?$5.20Jun 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$83.93May 23, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.30May 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.98May 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$35.45May 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$36.00May 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$36.36May 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$40.00May 8, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.