US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 32¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 49.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.