USD0 depeg by December 31?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$23.54
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6028.0h
- 01:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6028h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 27¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 27¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 27¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 27¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 27¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 27¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 27¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 27¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 27¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 27¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 27¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 27¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 27¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 27¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).