SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+54.4pp

24h Vol

$19.2K

Liquidity

$379.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 54pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $19.2k traded against $379.3k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.4h

    HIGH
  • 20:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+54.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +60.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).

Show all 26 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · +60.0pp → 100¢
  • 19:00 · +59.5pp → 100¢
  • 17:00 · +11.0pp → 51¢
  • 15:00 · +6.0pp → 46¢
  • 14:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
  • 12:00 · +7.5pp → 48¢
  • 11:00 · +8.0pp → 48¢
  • 09:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
  • 08:00 · +6.0pp → 46¢
  • 06:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
  • 05:00 · +6.0pp → 47¢
  • 03:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 02:00 · +5.5pp → 46¢
  • 00:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
  • 23:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
  • 21:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · -8.5pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · -9.5pp → 41¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between CGN Esports and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CGN Esports" if CGN Esports win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against CGN Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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