Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+54.4pp
24h Vol
$19.2K
Liquidity
$379.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 54pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $19.2k traded against $379.3k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.4h
- 20:35SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+54.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +60.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).
Show all 26 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +60.0pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +59.5pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +11.0pp → 51¢
- 15:00 · +6.0pp → 46¢
- 14:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
- 12:00 · +7.5pp → 48¢
- 11:00 · +8.0pp → 48¢
- 09:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
- 08:00 · +6.0pp → 46¢
- 06:00 · +6.5pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · +6.0pp → 47¢
- 03:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 02:00 · +5.5pp → 46¢
- 00:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
- 23:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
- 21:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.3M
- 76¢-2.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $2.5M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-23.4pp
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Sports · Vol $1.3M
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between CGN Esports and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CGN Esports" if CGN Esports win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against CGN Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.