Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-35.9pp
24h Vol
$313.05
Liquidity
$47.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-44.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 36pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 15:22SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.9pp
to 0¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 45¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 39¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 33¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 33¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 35¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 37¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 100¢+37.5pp
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
Sports · Vol $184.1K
- 100¢+40.9pp
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $18.3K
- 0¢-59.5pp
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $19.8K
- 100¢+52.4pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $11.5K
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 44¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $865.4K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $823.9K
- 4¢+0.3pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $787.5K
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between DetonatioN FocusMe and VARREL in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe wins 2 or more maps than VARREL in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "VARREL". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).