SportsExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner

Probability

1h

-14.0pp

24h

-50.0pp

24h Vol

$12.2K

Liquidity

$42.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 14:00Apr 30, 2026, 22:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -14.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:10Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.2h

    HIGH
  • 22:55Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 22:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Evil Geniuses Academy and Shopify Rebellion Black in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses Academy" if Evil Geniuses Academy win Map 2 against Shopify Rebellion Black. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Black" if Shopify Rebellion Black win Map 2 against Evil Geniuses Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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