Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
-14.0pp
24h
-50.0pp
24h Vol
$12.2K
Liquidity
$42.7K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 50pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -14.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 02:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.2h
- 22:55SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 22:55SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Evil Geniuses Academy and Shopify Rebellion Black in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses Academy" if Evil Geniuses Academy win Map 2 against Shopify Rebellion Black. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Black" if Shopify Rebellion Black win Map 2 against Evil Geniuses Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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