Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$85.8K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 41.0× turnover
$85.8k traded against $2.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:20SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 23:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+58.5pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Sports · Vol $4.5M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.5M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.0M
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between HGE Esports and NOVO Esports in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HGE Esports" if HGE Esports win the match against NOVO Esports. This market will resolve to "NOVO Esports" if NOVO Esports win the match against HGE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Hidden-Heater22.8K
- Attentive-Crewman4.2K
- Whirlwind-Bidding2.2K
- Growing-Classification2.1K
- Yawning-Chicken2.0K
- Dazzling-Fame28.7K
- Crazy-Convert12.3K
- Grotesque-Entry9.2K
- Gullible-Landscape2.3K
- Ambitious-Reversal1.7K