Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
Probability
72¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.4K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 72¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 36h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 36 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 35.6h
- 04:24SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 36h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 72¢.
Biggest hourly move: +32.5pp at 2d ago (to 82¢).
Show top 8 of 34 hourly moves
- 04:24 · -10.5pp → 72¢
- 01:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
- 2d ago · +32.5pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · +31.0pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · +31.0pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · +31.0pp → 82¢
- 3d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
- 3d ago · +20.5pp → 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Nongshim RedForce and Global Esports in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win Map 1 against Global Esports. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win Map 1 against Nongshim RedForce. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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