SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

w0nderful

Probability

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$35.09

Liquidity

$3.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (12.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 04:00May 1, 2026, 23:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 8¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 24h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 12.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 24 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 24.1h

    HIGH
  • 23:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 24h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.

Biggest hourly move: -40.0pp at 03:00 (to 10¢).

Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
  • 06:00 · -38.0pp → 10¢
  • 04:00 · -38.5pp → 10¢
  • 03:00 · -40.0pp → 10¢
  • 01:00 · -38.0pp → 12¢
  • 00:00 · -38.0pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 12¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to which player records the most AWP kills across all maps played during the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 tournament, scheduled to take place from April 29 to May 3, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the most AWP kills, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If an unlisted player records the most AWP kills across all maps, this market will resolve to "Other". If BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 is canceled, postponed after May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the official results or statistics from BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 are not published within this timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official BLAST.tv livestream, match pages, and statistics (https://blast.tv/cs/tournaments), supplemented by HLTV.org round-by-round stats (https://www.hltv.org/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.