Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$770.43
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $770 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
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Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1557.8h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.1pp at 20:00 (to 3¢).
Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
- 02:10 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 01:00 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 00:00 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 22:00 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 21:00 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 20:00 · -3.1pp → 3¢
- 19:00 · -3.0pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 3¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying announcement must: - Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing). - Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”). - Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent. If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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