United-Welcome
0x2afd0dfad042ef302aad5d4480602d1a9250deb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$623.67
Total PnL
$678.12
Realised
$889.37
Win rate
89%
162 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?
67 shares @ 4.1¢·now 36.4¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$24.30
$21.57
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
118 shares @ 2.2¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.62
$16.02
- YES
Will Carolina Royal Ravens finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?
38 shares @ 20.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$18.00
$10.41
- YES
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 28.3¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.49
$-22.39
- YES
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
40 shares @ 10.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$14.01
$9.69
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?
198 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.44
$2.65
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
203 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$12.49
$-0.25
- YES
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
41 shares @ 25.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.42
$2.03
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
16 shares @ 53.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.80
$3.52
- NO
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
32 shares @ 15.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.22
$6.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$3.17Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$1.19Jun 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$2.31Jun 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$2.51Jun 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?$5.00Jun 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.00Jun 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.12Jun 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$0.67Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPYUSD depeg by December 31?$0.30Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.06Jun 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.17Jun 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.04Jun 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$0.99Jun 12, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLObama arrested before 2027?$6.61Jun 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$1.96Jun 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$3.25Jun 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?$3.63Jun 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.05Jun 11, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 162 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.