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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Probability

61¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

+6.5pp

24h Vol

$1.9K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+31.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 7pp over 24h

    Now 61¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 56¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 72.1h

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 38.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 38.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 37.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 25.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 39.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseOfficial government source
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).