UnclassifiedExpires May 25, 2026
Creator

Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Probability

100¢

1h

+49.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$25.2K

Liquidity

$7.6K

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

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Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active · uma=proposed

Derived status (Orrery)

UMA PENDING

Reason

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible sources
Link
enhanced.org)
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
100¢
May 24, 2026, 16:00 UTCMay 25, 2026, 04:54 UTC
updated 05:47:40 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-25T05-47Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 3.3× turnover

    $25.2k traded against $7.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $7.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 05:47Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Scheduled resolution

    Expiry passed 6h ago; awaiting UMA confirmation

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 05:47:40 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 05:47:40 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

1
Same eventEnhanced Games: Number of World Records Broken?

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of world records broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If the 2026 Enhanced Games are cancelled, postponed, incomplete or the number of world records broken cannot be determined by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0". The primary resolution source will be the official information from the Enhanced Games (https://enhanced.org); however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: low

Category

Other

Source

Default fallback

Reason

No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?"?

As of Mon, 25 May 2026 05:47:40 GMT, YES is priced at 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +49.5pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 25, 2026 (2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from UMA optimistic oracle (proposed).

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from UMA optimistic oracle (proposed). Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$25.2K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $25.2K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $7.6K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.6¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket