Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Probability
81¢
1h
+0.9pp
24h
-6.3pp
24h Vol
$143.65
Liquidity
$6.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-11.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 81¢; +0.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 14.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 774.0h
- 17:57SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-3.3pp over the last 24h, now 95¢.
Biggest hourly move: +4.9pp at 2d ago (to 98¢).
Show all 4 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:57 · -3.4pp → 95¢
- 2d ago · +4.1pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +4.2pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +4.9pp → 98¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (14.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.