Perfumed-Moat
0x1cfc260bfa2b5ae89377863180ca3b4f5c862111
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$48.6K
Total PnL
$15.7K
Realised
$44.0K
Win rate
73%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15433 shares @ 79.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.3K
$3.0K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15344 shares @ 55.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.8K
$4.3K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8145 shares @ 55.7¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$1.5K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
5704 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.6K
$250.52
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
15400 shares @ 9.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.3K
$2.9K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14502 shares @ 23.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$-230.40
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10552 shares @ 27.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4918 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$135.26
$9.18
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
72305 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.62
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
72305 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.62
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.91Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.37Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$107.46Jun 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$51.27Jun 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$235.03Jun 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$45.00Jun 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.8KJun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5.50Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.50Jun 12, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$240.27Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.07Jun 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$245.00Jun 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.50Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.15Jun 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.20Jun 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$190.00Jun 12, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $45.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.