Will Affe get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Probability
46¢
1h
+10.0pp
24h
+12.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$7.67
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 46¢; +10.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 87.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:58SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+15.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Biggest hourly move: -20.5pp at 1d ago (to 28¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +13.5pp → 50¢
- 20:00 · +19.5pp → 50¢
- 14:00 · +15.5pp → 50¢
- 11:00 · +14.0pp → 50¢
- 09:00 · -14.0pp → 36¢
- 02:00 · -15.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +15.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · -20.5pp → 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢0.0pp
Will Angelica get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Aron get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will Haitham get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will Ida get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Joel get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Lars-Erik get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 46¢-5.5pp
Will Agnes get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Amelia get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢+0.7pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $374.1K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $287.7K
- 0¢-0.9pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $277.7K
- 86¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $230.5K
- 1¢-6.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $226.6K
- 0¢-28.4pp
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $206.1K
Market Description
Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 is scheduled to premiere on March 12, 2026 on Netflix. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No". If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show. If official footage is ambiguous, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.