Will Alfonso Trezza score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+42.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.14
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 43pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 97.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 927.9h
- 08:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+42.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 12:00 (to 7¢).
Show top 8 of 31 hourly moves
- 12:00 · -39.0pp → 7¢
- 11:00 · -38.0pp → 7¢
- 09:00 · -38.0pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -37.0pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -38.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season. Only goals scored in Primeira Liga matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Taca de Portugal, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Primeira Liga season is canceled or not completed by June 7, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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