Will Alvin Kamara be traded?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$419.46
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 12.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 10¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).