UnclassifiedExpires Mar 26, 2026
Creator

Will Anna get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$8.0K

Liquidity

$2.00

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

EXPIRED

Reason

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
50¢
May 8, 2026, 15:00 UTCMay 15, 2026, 14:34 UTC
updated 14:35:00 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-15T14-35Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 4002.1× turnover

    $8.0k traded against $2 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 98.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

updated 14:35:00 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 14:35:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventWho will get engaged in Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?

Market Description

Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 is scheduled to premiere on March 12, 2026 on Netflix. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No". If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show. If official footage is ambiguous, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Why this category?

confidence: low

Category

Other

Source

Default fallback

Reason

No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Anna get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?"?

As of Fri, 15 May 2026 14:35:00 GMT, YES is priced at 50% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Mar 26, 2026 (2026-03-26T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$8.0K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $8.0K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $2.00. Spread between best bid and best ask: 98.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

2 wallets
Open on Polymarket