Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?

1. 1

   Down 13pp over 24h

   Now 8¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified company publicly and officially announces that it has closed its next funding round by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying announcements must explicitly confirm that a new funding round has been closed, either through an official announcement by the specified company (e.g., via press release) or its investors, a regulatory filing, or a consensus of credible media reporting. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. If the specified company becomes unable to complete a new funding round, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by another entity, this market will resolve to "No". This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the specified company completes an initial public offering (IPO) within the specified timeframe, defined as the commencement of public trading of its shares. Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by the specified company, as well as official company documents such as SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.