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AIMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?

Probability

99¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$31.06

Liquidity

$253.49

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 13.4h

    HIGH
  • 10:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 10:33Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.1pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 5.8pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 44.3pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 42.7pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 42.7pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the model family that has the highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week. The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released. Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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