Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$31.06
Liquidity
$253.49
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.4h
- 10:33SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:33PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 99¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 99¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 99¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 99¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.3pp
to 99¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.7pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.7pp
to 99¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week. The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released. Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).