Few-Replacement
0xf074b41aae86aecd670e08396192e625ef7bdb52
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$65.22
Total PnL
$-149.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
53 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.63
$11.13
- YES
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
53 shares @ 50.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.37
$-11.13
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.42
$4.38
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.55
$-4.34
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
44 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.24
$-20.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?
120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?
76 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?
39 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?
21 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
9 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$15.00Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?$6.00May 29, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?$0.07May 27, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?$5.93May 27, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$5.00May 27, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$9.00May 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$4.59May 24, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$1.30May 20, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$7.75May 20, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.83May 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.94May 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.56May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.94May 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.70May 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.88May 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.68May 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.25May 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.16May 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.46May 15, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.