Soft-Flugelhorn
0x4f23a0976493be385412ce9a6b93841ee2c090db
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$50.2K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
23042 shares @ 99.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.4K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
12317 shares @ 76.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.1K
$1.6K
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
5059 shares @ 78.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$872.03
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
2548 shares @ 76.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$341.48
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$270.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5595 shares @ 61.2¢·now 25.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9341 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-793.95
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4527 shares @ 49.7¢·now 21.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$975.62
$-1.3K
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.00
$871.32
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
808 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$758.56
$40.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$100.00Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.1KJun 12, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$9.25Jun 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$0.93Jun 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.00Jun 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.00Jun 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.00Jun 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.10Jun 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$16.80Jun 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$16.80Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$16.80Jun 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$4.23Jun 1, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$16.91Jun 1, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$16.91Jun 1, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $59.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.