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OtherExpires May 20, 2026

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+16.5pp

24h Vol

$303.34

Liquidity

$793.95

Probability (last 7 days)

+15.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 17pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 584h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 27.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 584.2h

    LOW
  • 15:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 584h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -33.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -36.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -38.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

"The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (27.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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