OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 8?

Probability

62¢

1h

+3.5pp

24h

+38.0pp

24h Vol

$385.20

Liquidity

$818.57

Probability (last 7 days)

+47.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 38pp over 24h

    Now 62¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 39.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.5h

    HIGH
  • 19:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+37.5pp over the last 24h, now 62¢.

Biggest hourly move: +47.5pp at 19:00 (to 63¢).

Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 19:00 · +47.5pp → 63¢
  • 17:00 · +44.5pp → 60¢
  • 15:00 · +40.0pp → 55¢
  • 14:00 · +40.5pp → 55¢
  • 12:00 · +26.0pp → 41¢
  • 11:00 · +27.0pp → 42¢
  • 09:00 · +26.0pp → 42¢
  • 08:00 · +26.5pp → 43¢
  • 06:00 · +22.5pp → 39¢
  • 05:00 · +22.5pp → 39¢
  • 03:00 · +16.0pp → 32¢
  • 02:00 · +17.0pp → 32¢
  • 00:00 · +18.0pp → 32¢
  • 22:00 · +17.0pp → 33¢
  • 21:00 · +17.0pp → 32¢
  • 20:00 · +9.5pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · +14.5pp → 29¢
  • 1d ago · +17.0pp → 32¢
  • 1d ago · +15.0pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · +13.5pp → 29¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 25¢
  • 1d ago · +10.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 27¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · +14.5pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +10.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · +14.5pp → 29¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -18.0pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 16¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Wallachia Season 8 tournament, currently scheduled for April 16th - April 26th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 3rd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (pglesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/PGL/Wallachia/8) may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
liquipedia.net
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.