Chilly-Membership
0xbe973a3ab4752d29719f856823a218733a316347
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.6K
Total PnL
$-35.6K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
15874 shares @ 44.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.3K
$5.3K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$330.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
639 shares @ 39.1¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$212.60
$-37.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
18731 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1548 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-709.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
1434 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-509.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1116 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-763.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1111 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-590.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
982 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
939 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-380.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$65.22Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$131.48Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$978.72Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$304.77Jun 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$60.95Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$101.59Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$30.49Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.8KJun 12, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3.3KJun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$70.34Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$904.86Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$975.49Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$382.28Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$396.00Jun 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$29.99Jun 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.3KJun 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.3KJun 12, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$30.82Jun 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$308.19Jun 12, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $305.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.