Apprehensive-Breakdown
0xcc500cbcc8b7cf5bd21975ebbea34f21b5644c82
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$172.1K
Total PnL
$-313.9K
Realised
$-56.4K
Win rate
65%
126 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
24155 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
16616 shares @ 89.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
14871 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.5K
$356.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
24118 shares @ 45.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.9K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
11231 shares @ 90.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.8K
$576.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
9911 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.6K
$674.34
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
10100 shares @ 88.9¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.5K
$550.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
9078 shares @ 83.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.4K
$822.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
8134 shares @ 83.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$7.7K
$902.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
7273 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.1K
$135.54
Recent activity
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$44.68Jul 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$36.24Jul 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$7.00Jul 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$82.41Jul 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$111.64Jul 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$14.20Jul 25, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.52Jul 25, 13:03 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$8.55Jul 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.25Jul 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.85Jul 25, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.53Jul 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$42.17Jul 25, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$40.58Jul 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$21.00Jul 25, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.30Jul 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.22Jul 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.30Jul 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.30Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.30Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.30Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$15.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 20, 13:50 UTC → Jun 14, 21:15 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14?$5.2K@89¢Jun 14, 21:15 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 126 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
126 closed markets, 65% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?
$5.3K · 34% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $52.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 126 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.