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CryptoExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?

Probability

74¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-11.0pp

24h Vol

$96.00

Liquidity

$3.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+24.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 05:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 114.8h

    LOW
  • 05:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 115h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 38.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 45.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms Silver in the listed month, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the last day of the specified month in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the first day of the specified month, 12:00 AM in the ET timezone (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The percentage change in Silver will be calculated by comparing the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day of the specified month to the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day before the specified month, as reported by MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00). Exactly equal performance of both assets will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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