Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?
Probability
74¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-11.0pp
24h Vol
$96.00
Liquidity
$3.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+24.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 114.8h
- 05:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 115h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 75¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.0pp
to 73¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 73¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 74¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 85¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 85¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 85¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 85¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 85¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 85¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 85¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 85¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.0pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms Silver in the listed month, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the last day of the specified month in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the first day of the specified month, 12:00 AM in the ET timezone (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The percentage change in Silver will be calculated by comparing the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day of the specified month to the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day before the specified month, as reported by MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00). Exactly equal performance of both assets will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).