Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Probability
93¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+9.2pp
24h Vol
$99.7K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 93¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 32.6× turnover
$99.7k traded against $3.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 176h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 176.1h
- 15:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 176h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 93¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 93¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 94¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 93¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 94¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 93¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 78¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.8pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 85¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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