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SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Probability

93¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+9.2pp

24h Vol

$99.7K

Liquidity

$3.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 93¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 32.6× turnover

    $99.7k traded against $3.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 176h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 176.1h

    LOW
  • 15:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 176h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.9pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.6pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.6pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.6pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.4pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.4pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.4pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.4pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.8pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).