Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by April 30?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$879.53
Probability (last 7 days)
+7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 28.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 850.4h
- 13:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 16¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 15¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 15¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 15¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is banned from Kick by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular will be banned will qualify regardless of whether the ban has gone into effect. Temporary bans will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://kick.com/clavicular), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (28.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).