Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$10.64
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 138.8h
- 05:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 139h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 13¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 14¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 14¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 14¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 14¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 16¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 16¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 19¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).