SportsExpires May 1, 2026

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of April 27 2026?

Probability

19¢

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-17.0pp

24h Vol

$470.00

Liquidity

$353.56

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 23:00Apr 28, 2026, 21:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 17pp over 24h

    Now 19¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 71h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 11.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 71h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 71 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 71.0h

    HIGH
  • 21:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 71h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-17.0pp over the last 24h, now 19¢.

Biggest hourly move: -32.5pp at 17:00 (to 17¢).

Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
  • 19:00 · -26.0pp → 23¢
  • 18:00 · -32.5pp → 17¢
  • 17:00 · -32.5pp → 17¢
  • 15:00 · -30.5pp → 18¢
  • 14:00 · -23.0pp → 25¢
  • 13:00 · -21.0pp → 27¢
  • 11:00 · -16.5pp → 32¢
  • 04:00 · -17.5pp → 33¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Coinbase (exchange price)
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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