Flimsy-Hydrolysis
0x7ed0a33693a19378318f160064e4f9c1c27a9c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$596.03
Win rate
86%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
998 shares @ 84.8¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$913.83
$67.84
- NO
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
799 shares @ 87.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$745.79
$43.11
- NO
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
688 shares @ 6.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$685.23
$643.09
- NO
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
645 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$641.13
$10.27
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
632 shares @ 80.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$603.11
$93.56
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in July?
508 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$501.14
$23.90
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
320 shares @ 88.4¢·now 87.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$279.19
$-3.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
282 shares @ 60.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$255.36
$85.42
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in July?
250 shares @ 62.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$243.25
$87.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$236.25
$17.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$206.45Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?$161.12Jul 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$6.72Jul 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$0.50Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$6.84Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$0.98Jul 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$57.80Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar$11.00Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Da Silva AND San Marino: Marco Cecchinato vs Franco Agamenone AND Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot$11.00Jul 28, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$372.78Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5$15.60Jul 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$1.30Jul 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$1.30Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena AND Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5 AND Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena AND LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier AND Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$11.00Jul 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B$20.00Jul 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?$4.80Jul 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$13.80Jul 28, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals Playoffs$10.00Jul 28, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Rush vs HATERS (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D$20.00Jul 28, 01:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.93Jul 28, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $28.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.